Migrant remittances and their impact on the economic development of the Baltic States

  • Gordon Rausser University of California, Berkeley
  • Wadim Strielkowski University of California, Berkeley
  • Yuriy Bilan University of Szczecin
  • Yuliia Tsevukh Odessa National I.I. Mechnikov University
Keywords: International Migration, Remittances, Labor Market, Econometric Modeling, Baltic States,

Abstract


This paper studies the determinants of international migration and remittances in the Baltic States (represented hereinafter by Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia). The research reveals a critical view on migrant remittances in terms of macroeconomic development and social conditions in the society of each country involved into our research.

In order to investigate and to demonstrate the impact of migrant remittances on GDP and consumption compared with current account balance, minimal wages, and foreign direct investment in the Baltic countries, econometric modeling based on the data of Eurostat, World Bank, and the National banks of the Baltic States has been employed. The results of this research clearly demonstrate that remittances sent by the migrants have high and positive impact on economic development in Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia. Moreover, the findings stemming from this study confirm that minimum wages in the Latvia and Lithuania are far more important determinants of economic development than remittances.

Author Biographies

Gordon Rausser, University of California, Berkeley
Professor Gordon Rausser is a Visiting Professor at the Department of Agricutural and Resources Economics, University of California, Berkeley
Wadim Strielkowski, University of California, Berkeley
Professor Wadim Stielkowski is a Visiting Professor at the Department of Agricutural and Resources Economics, University of California, Berkeley and a Professor at Prague Business School.
Yuriy Bilan, University of Szczecin
Professor Yuriy Bilan is a Professor at the Faculty of Economics Science and Management, University of Szczecin, ul. Mickiewicza 64, 71-101, Szczecin, Poland
Yuliia Tsevukh, Odessa National I.I. Mechnikov University
Yuliia Tsevukh is an Associate Professoratthe Department of World Economy and International Economic Relations, Odessa National I.I. Mechnikov University, Dvoryanskaya str. 2, 65082 Odessa, Ukraine

References

Agunias, D.R. (2006). Remittances and Development: Trends, Impacts and Policy Options: A Review of the Literature. Washington, D. C.: Migration Policy Institute.

Angioloni, S., Kudabaev, Z., Ames, G.C.W., & Wetzstein, M. (2018). Household allocation of microfinance credit in Kyrgyzstan. Post-Communist Economies, 30(1), 78-98. doi:10.1080/14631377.2017.1361691

Gapen, M.T., Chami, R., Montiel, P., Barajas, A., & Fullenkamp, C. (2009). Do Workers' Remittances Promote Economic Growth. IMF Working Papers, 09(153), 1. doi:10.5089/9781451873009.001

Chami R., A. Barajas, T. Cosimano, C. Fullenkamp, M. Gapen, Montiel, P. 2008. Macroeconomic Consequences of Remittances, Occasional Paper No. 259, International Monetary Fund, Washington, D.C.

Cohen, J.H. (2005). Remittance outcomes and migration: Theoretical contests, real opportunities. Studies in Comparative International Development, 40(1), 88-112. doi:10.1007/bf02686290

Davis, C.M. (2016). The Ukraine conflict, economic–military power balances and economic sanctions. Post-Communist Economies, 28(2), 167-198. doi:10.1080/14631377.2016.1139301

Dietz, B. (2009). Migration, remittances and the current economic crisis: implications for Central and Eastern Europe. OEI Kurzanalysen und Informationen, Regensburg, Nr. 42; http://www.dokumente.ios-regensburg.de/publikationen/info/info-42.pdf.

Eurostat. (2015). Statistical Database. http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database.

Ghosh, B. (2006). Migrants' Remittances and Development: Myths, Rhetoric and Realities. Geneva: International Organization for Migration / The Hague, Process on Refugees and Migration.

Giuliano, P., & Ruiz-Arranz, M. (2009). Remittances, financial development, and growth. Journal of Development Economics, 90(1), 144-152. doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2008.10.005

Hazans, M. (2003). Determinants of Inter-Regional Migration in the Baltic Countries. SSRN Electronic Journal,doi:10.2139/ssrn.742184

Hazans, M., & Philips, K. (2009). The Post-Enlargement Migration Experience in the Baltic Labor Markets. In M. Kahanec & K.F. Zimmermann (Eds.), EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration. (pp. 255-304). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Nature. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-02242-5_10

International Monetary Fund. (2015). eLibrary Data. Balance of Payments Statistics. Available at: http://elibrary-data.imf.org/DataReport.aspx?c=7183654&d=33061&e=170784.

Kaczmarczyk, P., & Okólski, M. (2008). Economic impacts of migration on Poland and the Baltic states. Oslo: Fafo Institute for Labor and Social Research. Fafopaper, 1 2008: 01.

Kahanec, M., & Zimmermann, K.F. (2011). The Post-Enlargement Migration Experience in the Baltic Labor Market. Budapest, Hungary: Central European University; Bratislava, Slovakia: Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), CELSI; Bonn, Germany: Bonn University.

Kahanec, M., & Zaiceva, A. (2009). Labor market outcomes of immigrants and non‐citizens in the EU. International Journal of Manpower, 30(1/2), 97-115. doi:10.1108/01437720910948429

Kahanec, M., Zaiceva, A., & Zimmermann, K.F. (2009). Lessons from Migration after EU Enlargement. In M. Kahanec & K.F. Zimmermann (Eds.), EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration. (pp. 3-45). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Nature. doi:10.1007/978-3-642-02242-5_1

Klicek, S., & Loncar, J. (2016). Analysis of migration trends and functions of areas inhabited by Roma: Example of Medjimurje county (Croatia) and the settlement of Kursanec. Geographica Pannonica, 20(4), 227-241. doi:10.5937/geopan1604227k

Levitt, P. (1998). Social Remittances: Migration Driven Local-Level Forms of Cultural Diffusion. International Migration Review, 32(4), 926. doi:10.2307/2547666

Martinez, C., Cummings, M.E., & Vaaler, P.M. (2014). Economic Informality and the Venture Funding Impact of Migrant Remittances to Developing Countries. Journal of Business Venturing, doi:10.2139/ssrn.2500375

Massey, D.S. (2003). Patterns and processes of international migration in the 21st century. In Conference on African Migration in Comparative Perspective. Johannesburg, South Africa. Vol. 4, No. 7.

Massey, D.S., Arango, J., Hugo, G., Kouaouci, A., Pellegrino, A., & Taylor, J.E. (1993). Theories of International Migration: A Review and Appraisal. Population and Development Review, 19(3), 431. doi:10.2307/2938462

Matuzeviciute, K., & Butkus, M. (2016). Remittances, Development Level, and Long-Run Economic Growth. Economies, 4(4), 28. doi:10.3390/economies4040028

Melnikas, B. 2008. Integration Processes in the Baltic Region: The New Form of Regional Transformations in the European Union. Inzinerine Ekonomika-Engineering Economics, 5, 54-64.

Meyer, D., & Shera, A. (2017). The impact of remittances on economic growth: An econometric model. EconomiA, 18(2), 147-155. doi:10.1016/j.econ.2016.06.001

OECD. (2006). International Migrant Remittances and their Role in Development. In International Migration Outlook, SOPEMI. Edition, Part III, pp. 139-161.

Paas, T., Eamets, R., Masso, J., & Room, M. (2003). Labour Market Flexibility and Migration in the Baltic States: Macro Evidences. Working Paper Series, University of Tartu, Faculty of Economics & Business Administration. doi:10.2139/ssrn.419902

Rapoport, H., & Docquier, F. (2006). The Economics of Migrants’ Remittances. In S.C. Kolm & J.M. Ythier (Eds.), Handbook of the Economics of Giving, Altruism and Reciprocity. (pp. 1135-1199). Volume 2, Chapter 17, Amsterdam: North Holland.

Ratha, D. (2005). Workers' remittances: an important and stable source of external development finance. In Remittances: Development impact and future prospects, Economics Seminar Series. 19-51; Paper 9, Available at: http://repository.stcloudstate.edu/econ_seminars/9.

Rausser, G., & Strielkowski, W. (2013). International Labour Migration and Structural Channels: A Case Study of Ukrainian Working Migrants in the Czech Republic. Ekonomický časopis, 10, 1034-1052.

Sabia, J. Do minimum wages stimulate productivity and growth. 201; http://wol.iza.org/articles/do-minimum-wages-stimulate-productivity-and-growth.

Stojanov, R., Strielkowski, W., & Drbohlav, D. (2011). Labour migration and remittances: current trends in times of economic recession. Geografie, 116(4); 375-400.

Strielkowski, W., & Sanderson, M. (2013). Structural channels for Ukrainian labour migration in the Czech Republic. Trames. Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, 17(3), 313. doi:10.3176/tr.2013.3.06

Strielkowski, W., & Weyskrabova, B. (2013). Ukrainian Labour Migration and Remittances in the Czech Republic. Tijdschrift voor economische en sociale geografie, 105(1), 30-45. doi:10.1111/tesg.12052

Streimikienė, D., Strielkowski, W., Bilan, Y., & Mikalauskas, I. (2016). Energy dependency and sustainable regional development in the Baltic states: A review. Geographica Pannonica, 20(2), 79-87. doi:10.5937/geopan1602079s

Trošt, M., & Bojnec, Š. (2016). Export-led growth: the case of the Slovenian and Estonian economies. Post-Communist Economies, 28(3), 373-383. doi:10.1080/14631377.2016.1184425

UNCTAD. (2015). FDI Statistics. http://unctad.org/en/Pages/DIAE/FDI%20Statistics/FDI-Statistics.aspx.

World Bank. (2013). Migration and Remittance Flows in Europe and Central Asia: Recent Trends and Outlook (2013-2016). http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2013/10/02/migration-and-remittance-flows-in-europe-and-central-asia-recent-trends-and-outlook-2013-2016.

World Bank. (2015). Migration and Remittances: Recent developments and outlook. Migration and Development Brief. 25 (October). http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/migrationremittancesdiasporaissues/brief/migration-and-remittances-publications.

World Bank. (2016). Migration and Remittances Factbook. In Third Edition. http: //siteresources.worldbank.org/INTPROSPECTS/Resources/334934-1199807908806/4549025-1450455807487/Factbookpart1.pdf

Published
2018/09/24
Section
Original Research