ASYMMETRICAL ACTION OF NON-STATE ARMED GROUPS IN POST-CONFLICT AREAS
Abstract
The acceleration of globalization has caused a series of negative political, security, demographic and socio-economic consequences in the world, causing the weakening and the collapse of some states, the appearance of various forms of expression of political and social unrest, as well as the strengthening of non-state actors, especially those who use violence to achieve their political, ideological and socio-economic goals. The operation of non-state armed actors, or groups, such as Al-Qaeda, the Islamic State, the Taliban, Hezbollah, Hamas, and Al-Shabaab, in post-conflict zones and areas of frozen conflicts, represents a significant political, security and social problem, at the national, regional and global level. Explanation of the nature and character of the non-state armed groups activities is the subject of consideration in this paper. The authors start from the hypothesis that the action of these actors is essentially asymmetric and largely based on the exploitation of the weaknesses of state and international entities. In this paper authors use the theoretical concept of asymmetry to explain the approaches, methods, techniques and tactics used by non-state armed groups in an effort to maximize their strengths and exploit the weaknesses of a superior adversary. The paper presents a theoretical synthesis of extensive scientific and professional literature on the nature of the activities of non-state armed groups. Numerous scientific and expert analysis and research indicate that non-state armed groups use unconventional and irregular approaches and methods of warfare against a superior opponent, often transferring the conflict to non-military dimensions, in order to compensate their military inferiority and effectively use the enemy's weaknesses. Their activity is very present in post-conflict zones and zones of frozen conflicts, especially in areas where the nexus of criminal activities, conflicts and vulnerability prevails. The asymmetric action of non-state armed groups, in the mentioned zones, is based on challenging state control of the territory and population, through deep infiltration into the political system of the state, creating state-like political orders, violently challenging the state legitimacy by carrying out terrorist attacks, usurping and taking over legal economic and financial flows, as well as organizing various criminal activities.
References
Byman, D. L. (2022). Hezbollah’s Dilemmas. Foreign Policy at Brokings. Preuzeto 10. Oktobra 2023. sa chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/FP_20221110_hezbollah_dilemmas_byman.pdf.
Berglund, C. Souleimanov, E. A. (2020). What is (not) asymmetric conflict? From conceptual stretching to conceptual structuring, Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict, Dynamics of Asymetic Conflict, Vol. 13, No. 1, 87-98.
Bruderlein, C. (2000). The Role of Non-State Actors in Building Human Security: The Case of Armed Groups in Intra-State Wars, Geneva. Center for Humanitarian Dialogue. Preuzeto 28. Septembra 2023. sa www.humansecuritynetwork.org/docs/report_may2000_2-e.php.
Center for Preventive Action, (2023). Conflict With Al-Shabaab in Somalia. Preuzeto 10. oktobra 2023. sa https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/al-shabab-somalia.
De Boer, J. Bosetti, L. (2017). The Crime-Conflict Nexus Assessing the Threat and Developing Solutions, Crime-Conflict Nexus Series: No 1, May 2017, Tokyo, United Nations University Centre for Policy Research.
Echevarria, A. (2007). Clausewitz and Contemporary War, New York, Oxford University Press.
Eaton J. G. (2002). The beauty of asymmetry: An examination of the context and practice of asymmetric and unconventional warfare from a western/centrist perspective. Defence Studies, 2:1, pp. 51-82.
Friedman, T. (2000). The Lexus and the Olive Tree. New York. First Anchor Books.
Fitzsimmons, M. (2019). Horizontal Escalation: An Asymmetric Approach to Russian Aggression?. Strategic Studies Quarterly, Spring 2019. 95-133.
Heydemann, S. (2023). Syria’s dissolving line between state and nonstate actors, Preuzeto 10.oktobra 2023. sa https://www.brookings.edu/articles/syrias-dissolving-line-between-state-and-nonstate-actors/.
Hofmann, C. Schneckener, U. (2011). Engaging Non-state Armed Actors in Stateand Peace-building: Options and Strategies. International Review of the Red Cross, Volume 93 Number 883, September 2011, 603-621.
Gaddis, J. L. (1981). Containment: Its Past and Future. International Security 5, no. 4 (Spring 1981). 74-102.
Global Initiative Against transnational Organized Crime. (2021). Global organized crime index 2021. Preuzeto 02. oktobra 2023. sa chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://globalinitiative.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/GITOC-Global-Organized-Crime-Index-2021.pdf.
Godson, R. Olson, W. Ј. (1993). International Organized Crime: Emerging Threat to US Security. Washington. National Strategy Information Center.
Godson, R. (2017). The Political-Criminal Nexus and Global Security. in Godson R. (ed.), Menace to Society: Political-criminal Collaboration Around the World. New York. Routledge. 1-27.
Gray, C. (2006). Strategic culture as context. in Strategy and History - Essays on theory and practice, New York, Routledge.
Gray, C. (2007). Irregular Warfare - One Nature, Many Characters, Strategic Studies Quarterly, Winter 2007.
Johnston, T. Mueller, E. E. Chindea, I. A. Byrne, H. J. Vest, N. Clarke, C. P. Garg, A. Shatz, H. J. (2023). Countering Violent Nonstate Actor Financing: Revenue Sources, Financing Strategies, and Tools of Disruption. Santa Monica, RAND Corporation, Preuzeto 10. oktobra 2023. sa https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA687-1.html.
Kemp, V. (2020). Transancionalna hobotnica - Globalna žarišta organizovanog kriminala sa Zapadnog Balkana, Ženeva, Globalna inicijativa protiv transnacionalnog organizovanog kriminala.
Khatib, L. (2021). How Hezbollah holds sway over the Lebanese state. London, Chatham House, The Royal Institute of International Affairs. Preuzeto 10. oktobra 2023. sa https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/2021-06/2021-06-30-how-hezbollah-holds-sway-over-the-lebanese-state-khatib.pdf.
Курмон, Б. Рибникар, Д. (2003). Асиметрични ратови – Сукоби јуче и данас, тероризам и нове претње. Београд. Новинско-издавачки центар „Војска”.
Lempinen E. (2021). Shock, insecurity and endless war: How 9/11 changed America and the world, Preuzeto 10.oktobra 2023. sa https://news.berkeley.edu/2021/09/09/shock-insecurity-and-endless-war-how-9-11-changed-america-and-the-world/.
Манделбаум, М. (2004). Идеје које су освојиле свет. Београд. Филип Вишњић.
Marks, T. (2002). Colombian Army Adaptation to FARC Insurgency, Carlisle, US Army War College. Strategic Studies Institute.
Mazarr, M. (2008). The Folly of ‘Asymmetric War’. The Washington Quarterly, Summer 2008. 33-53.
Macdonald, David Bruce (2002). Balkan Holocausts?: Serbian and Croatian Victim Centered Propaganda and the War in Yugoslavia. New Approaches to Conflict Analysis. Manchester University Press.
McNerney, M. Connable, B. Zimmerman, R. Lander, N. Posard, M. Castillo, J. Madden, D. Blum, I. Frank, A. Fernandes, B. Seol, I. H. Paul, C. Parasiliti, A. (2018). National Will to Fight – Why Some States Keep Fighting and Others Don’t, Santa Monica, RAND Corporation.
Metz, S. Johnson, D. (2001). Asymmetry and U.S. military strategy: definition, background, and strategic concepts, Carlisle, Strategic Studies Institute.
Milevski, L. (2014). Asymmetry is Strategy, Strategy is Asymmetry. JFQ 75, 4th Quarter 2014. 77-83.
Saylor, M. (2007). Globalization and Sovereignty: The Rise of Non-State Actors in Theory and in Practice. A Senior Honors Thesis in the Department of International Affairs. Sweet Briar. Sweet Briar College.
Shaw, M. Reitano, T. (2017). Global Illicit Flows and Local Conflict Dynamics - The Case for Pre-Emptive Analysis and Experimental Policy Options, Crime-Conflict Nexus Series: No 2 May 2017, Tokyo, United Nations University Centre for Policy Research.
Shultz, R. Farah, D. Lochard, I. (2004). Armed Groups: A Tier-One Security Priority. INSS Occasional Paper 57. Colorado. USAF Institute for National Security Studies.
Smith, E. A. (2002). Effects Based Operations: Applying Network-Centric Warfare in Peace, Crisis, and War. DoD Command and Control Research Program (CCRP) Publications.
Stepanova, E. (2006). Terrorism in Asymmetrical Conflict - Ideological and structural aspects. SIPRI Research Report No. 23, Oxford, Oxford University Press.
Стојановић, С. (2009). Глобализација и безбедносне перспективе света. Београд. ВИЗ.
Ranstorp, M. (1997). Hiz’ballah in Lebanon. New York. St. Martin’s Press.
Vasseur, M. Serena, C. C. Clarke, C. P. Chindea, I. A. Mueller, E. E. Vest, N. (2022). Understanding and Reducing the Ability of Violent Nonstate Actors to Adapt to Change. Santa Monica, RAND Corporation, Preuzeto 2. oktobra 2023. sa https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA324-1.html.