THE STATISTICAL ASSESSMENT OF THE TRAFFIC SITUATION BASED ON SAMPLE DATA OF TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS IN THE URBAN AGGLOMERATION
Abstract
The article analyzes the accident rate on the roads at the entrance sections of the Belgorod agglomeration road network with the help of a documentary study of traffic accident records for the statistical assessment of the road traffic situation. It has been established that collisions and hitting a pedestrian are particular types of traffic accidents. The results of the analysis showed that Tuesday and Sunday are among the peak days of the week in terms of the probability of traffic accidents. Calculations based on mathematical statistics and probability theory have shown that there is a correlation between the number of accidents and the proposed characteristic hours of the day. To improve road safety, an information model was developed, an information model for reducing traffic accidents in places of concentration of traffic accidents.
References
Penshin, N.V.(2013). Methodology of ensuring road traffic safety in road transport. Study guide. Tambov: Publishing house of FGBOU VPO "TSTU", 2013. p. 15.
Vlasov, A.A.(2014) Theory of transport flows. Monogr. Penza: Publishing House of PGUAS, 2014. p. 124.
Javid, M.A., Ali, N., Abdullah, M. et al. (2021). Integrating the Norm Activation Model (NAM) Theory in Explaining Factors Affecting Drivers’ Speeding Behaviour in Lahore. KSCE J Civ Eng 25, 2701–2712 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12205-021-1289-x.
Alonso, F., Esteban, C. (2013). Constanza Calatayud and Jaime Sanmartín. Speed and Road Accidents: Behaviors, Motives, and Assessment of the Effectiveness of Penalties for Speeding. American Journal of Applied Psychology. 2013; 1(3):58-64. 10.12691/ajap-1-3-5.
Kushchenko, L. E., Kushchenko, S. V. (2021). The solving of optimizing the structure of a transport node problem by the fuzzy set method. MATEC Web of Conferences The VII International Scientific and Practical Conference «Information Technologies and Management of Transport Systems», https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/202134100020
Guy, L.E. (2013). Zatorovye phenomena. Warning possibilities. Bulletin of BSTU named after V.G. Shukhov. No. 3.- pp. 166-169.
Kushchenko, L.E., Kushchenko, S.V., Kravchenko, A.A., Davydova, E.V. (2021). Research of ecological and economic indicators of motor transport in the urban agglomeration of the Belgorod region. The world of transport and technological machines. – 2021. - № 1 (72). – Pp. 79-87.
Kushchenko, L.E., Kushchenko, S.V., Glagolev, S.N., Novikov, I.A.(2016). Improving the environmental situation by changing the modes of operation of a traffic light object. World of transport and technological machines. – 2016. - № 3 (54). – Pp. 116-121.
Kushchenko, L., Kushchenko, S., Novikov, A., Novikov, I. (2021). The planning and conducting transport and transport-sociological surveys for the development of a local project of the Belgorod urban agglomeration. Journal of Applied Engineering Science 2021, vol. 19 (3), pp. 706-711, https://doi.org/10.5937/jaes0-29032.
Kushchenko, L., Kushchenko, S., Kambur, A., Novikov, A. (2022). The analizing of personal and public transport traffic flows in Belgorod agglomeration. Journal of Applied Engineering Science 2022, vol. 20 (3), pp. 700-706, https://doi.org/10.5937/jaes0-35593.
Javid, MA, Ali, N, Abdullah, M, Campisi, T, Shah, SAH, Suparp, S.(2022). Analysis of Driver’s Socioeconomic Characteristics Relating to Speeding Behavior and Crash Involvement: A Case Study in Lahore. Infrastructures. 2022; 7(2):18. https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures7020018.
Podoprigora, N. V., Marusin, A. V., Pegin, P. A., Karelina, E. A., and Akulov, A. A. (2022). Systematic approach in information support of the «Road user-vehicle-road-external environment» system. 2022 Systems of Signals Generating and Processing in the Field of on Board Communications, SOSG 2022 - Conference Proceedings, doi:10.1109/IEEECONF53456. 2022.9744276.
Novikov, A., Shevtsova, A., Evtyukov, S. and Marusin, A.,(2022). "Establishment of Causal Relationships of the Occurrence of Road Accidents," 2022 International Conference on Engineering Management of Communication and Technology (EMCTECH), 2022, pp. 1-5, doi: 10.1109/EMCTECH55220.2022.9934073.
Silyanov, V.V. (1984).Transport and operational qualities of highways. M.: Transport, 1984. - 287 p.
Podoprigora, N. V., Marusin, A. V., Pegin, P. A., Karelina, E. A.,and Akulov, A. A. (2022). Systematic approach in information support of the «Road user-vehicle-road-external environment» system. 2022 Systems of Signals Generating and Processing in the Field of on Board Communications, SOSG 2022 - Conference Proceedings, doi:10.1109/IEEECONF53456. 2022.9744276.
Vasiliev, A.P. (2010).Operation of highways: in 2 volumes: textbook for students higher studies institutions. M.: Publishing center "Academy", 2010. 320 p.
Kushchenko, L.E., Novikov, A.N., Novikov, I.A., Kushchenko S.V. (2020). Organization of road traffic. Textbook, Publishing House of BSTU named after V.G. Shukhov, p. 196.
Kushchenko, L.E., Kravchenko, A.A., Ryzhkin, P.P., Koroleva, L.A. (2020). The influence of the road quality state on traffic accidents. The world of transport and technological machines. – 2020. - № 1(68). – Pp. 49-58.
Zyryanov, V.V., Kocherga, V.G., Pozdnyakov, M.N. (2011). Modern approaches to the development of integrated traffic management schemes. Transport of the Russian Federation. SPb. – No. 1. - 2011. – pp. 28-33.
Novikov, I.A., (2009). Technical means of movement organization. Belgorod: BSTU named after V.G. Shukhov, 2009. - 302 p.
Electronic resource: www.gibdd.ru.
Rumshinsky, L.Z. (1971). Mathematical processing of experimental results. Moscow: Nauka, 1971. – 352 p.
Wentzel, E.S. (1966).Probability theory [Text] / E.S. Wentzel.- M.: FM, 1966.-442 p.
