STRATEGIC CONTROL OF THE ARCTIC AND POSSIBLE ARMED CONFLICT OF THE GREAT POWERS

  • Miloš Tomić Faculty of Security Studies, University of Belgrade
Keywords: Arctic, natural resources, militarization, control, Northern Sea Route

Abstract


The geopolitical competition of great powers over the control of strategically important natural resources is an integral part of the political agenda aimed at achieving economic and thus military dominance on a global level. The territory of the Arctic, as the northernmost part of the planet Earth, has large reserves of natural resources (primarily oil and gas), the sovereign control and exploitation of which are contested by the countries that surround (a total of eight of them) this area, but also recently by countries that have granted themselves the status of "near arctic state" such as the People's Republic of China. The trend of accelerated militarization of the Arctic in the period after the end of the Cold War can be interpreted as a consequence of the damaged relationship between the key actors of international politics and different perceptions of the future global order. The goal of this work is a systematic description of the dynamics of relations between Arctic states with a special focus on the USA (including NATO) and the Russian Federation and their activities in the military-defense sphere. In order to achieve the projected goal, the technique of content analysis of strategic documents, the technique of narrative analysis and historical comparative analysis was used. The results of this research indicate the increased interest of the great powers in controlling the Arctic, i.e. the natural resources present in this area, as well as the strategically important international traffic corridor, the Northern Sea Route. Accordingly, the engagement of the armed forces should enable the unhindered implementation of the defined political-economic activities of the Arctic states with the status of a great power.

References

Åtland, Kristian.2008. "Mikhail Gorbachev, the Murmansk initiative, and the desecuritization of interstate relations in the Arctic." Cooperation and Conflict 43 (3): 289-311.

Arctic Council. 1996. Ottawa Declaration. Ottawa, Canada: Arctic Council.

Arctic Council. 2023а. Who takes part in the Arctic Council? Arctic Council. Accessed 28.01.2023. https://www.arctic-council.org/about/

Arctic Council. 2021. Arctic Council Strategic plan 2021-230. Reykjavik: Arctic Council Secretariat.

Arctic Council. 2023б. The Russian Federation. Arctic Council. Приступљено 28.01.2023. https://www.arctic-council.org/about/states/russian-federation/

Bloom, Evan T. 1999. "Establishment of the Arctic council." American Journal of International Law 93 (3): 712-722.

Davis, Ruth. 2012. Protecting the Arctic: Second Report of Session 2012–2013. London: The Stationery Office.

European Commission. 2008. Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament and Council: The European Union and the Arctic Region. European Commission Accessed 10.11.2022. https://eeas.europa.eu/archives/docs/arctic_region/docs/com_08_763_en.pdf

Griffiths, Franklyn. 1992. Arctic Alternatives: Civility or Militarism in the Circumpolar North. Toronto: Science for Peace.

Issraelian, Edam. 1992. Gorbachev's Murmansk Initiative. In Arctic Alternatives: Civility or Militarism in the Circumpolar North, ed. Franklyn Griffiths, 269–277. Toronto: Science for Peace.

International Institute for Strategic Studies. 2012. Forum for Arctic climate change and security. In: Report of the IISS Forum for Arctic Climate Change and Security, Military Cooperation Workshop. London: IISS.

Koivurova, Timo. 2010. "Limits and possibilities of the Arctic Council in a rapidly changing scene of Arctic governance." Polar Record 46 (2): 146-156.

Keskitalo, Eva Carina Helena. 2004. The Construction of an International Region. New York: Routledge.

Lišanin, Mladen. 2021. Transatlanski izazov Bajdenove administracije. Politika nacionalne bezbednosti 21 (2): 11-27.

NATO. 2022. Exercise Cold Response 2022 – NATO and partner forces face the freeze in Norway. NATO Accessed 8.01.2023. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_192351.htm?selectedLocale=en#:~:text=Cold%20Response%202022%20is%20a,the%20air%20and%20at%20sea

Nord, Douglas C. 2006. Canada as a Northern Nation: Finding a Role for the Arctic Council. In Handbook of Canadian Foreign Policy, ed. Patrick James, Nelson Michaud, and Marc J. O'Reilly. Oxford: Lexington Books.

Østhagen, Аndreas. 2015. The Arctic Coast Guard Forum: Big Tasks, Small Solutions. The Arctic institute Accessed 28.01.2023. https://www.thearcticinstitute.org/arctic-coast-guard-forum-big-tasks/

Paul, Michael. and Swistek, Goran. 2022. Russia in the Arctic.Development Plans, Military Potential, and Conflict Prevention. Brussels: SWP.

Schofield, Clive, and Tavis Potts. 2008 "The Arctic." The International Journal of Marine and Coastal Law 23 (1): 151-176.

Politico. 2023. NATO must boost presence in Arctic, Stoltenberg says. Politico Accessed 29.01.2023. https://www.politico.eu/article/nato-must-boost-presence-in-arctic-stoltenberg/

The White House. 2022.  National Strategy for the Arctic Region. The White House Accessed 30.01.2023. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/National-Strategy-for-the-Arctic-Region.pdf

Sale, Richard, and Eugene Potapov. 2010. The Scramble for the Arctic. Ownership, Exploitation and Conflict in the Far North. London: Francis Lincoln Ltd.

Tingstad, Аbbie. (2022). Putin's Actions in Ukraine Are Spilling North. Santa Monica: RAND corporation.

Wilson, Page. (2013). Asia eyes the Arctic. The Diplomat. Accessed 12.8.2022. http://thediplomat.com/2013/08/asia-eyes-the-arctic/

Wilson, Page. 2016. "Society, steward or security actor? Three visions of the Arctic Council." Cooperation and Conflict 51 (1): 55-74.

Willis, Matthew. 2013. The Arctic Council: Underpinning stability in the Arctic.  The Arctic institute Accessed 11.12.2022. сa http://www.rusi.org/publications/newsbrief/ref:A513A129282486/#.UUmZwTfFk6I  

Министерство обороны РФ. 2018. Российские военные закрепились на Крайнем Севере. Министерство обороны РФ Accessed 25.01.2023. https://army.ric.mil.ru/Stati/item/115300/

РИА новости. 2021а. "Нам конец": британцы высказались о российской военной базе в Арктике. РИА новости Accessed 2.01.2023. https://ria.ru/20210519/arktika-1733004428.html

РИА новости. 2021б. "Россия далеко зашла": США раскрыли цель переброски войск в Арктику. РИА новости. Accessed 3.01.2023. https://ria.ru/20210326/arktika-1602792053.html

Газета ЗП. 2021. Арктический заслон. Газета. Accessed 3.01.2023. https://gazetazp.ru/special/poljus-pritjazhenija/arkticheskij-zaslon.html

Кремль. 2020. Указ Президента Российской Федерации от 26.10.2020 г. № 645. Кремль. Accessed 2.01.2023. http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/45972  

Карнаухова, Елена. (2021). Возможен ли вооруженный конфликт в Арктике в XXI в.? РСМД. Accessed 3.02.2023. https://russiancouncil.ru/analytics-and-comments/columns/arcticpolicy/vozmozhen-li-vooruzhennyy-konflikt-v-arktike-v-xxi-v/

Published
2023/06/16
Section
Review article