Promene stanovništva Srbije u postjugoslovenskom periodu (1991–2017): važniji demografski aspekti

  • Goran D. Penev Institut društvenih nauka Centar za demografska istraživanja Beograd
  • Jelena R. Predojević-Despić Institut društvenih nauka Centar za demografska istraživanja Beograd
Ključne reči: population decline||, ||smanjenje stanovništva, fertility||, ||fertilitet, mortality||, ||mortalitet, migration||, ||migracije, population ageing||, ||starenje stanovništva,

Sažetak


Cilj rada je da se razmatraju trendovi kretanja stanovništva Srbije i njegovih komponenti tokom poslednje tri decenije. To je period korenitih političkih, ekonomskih i socijalnih transformacija. Analiza je zasnovana na podacima vitalne statistike (1991–2017), popisa iz 1991, 2002. i 2011, kao i zvaničnih ili procena autora. U tom periodu neki raniji dugoročni procesi su nastavljeni (pad fertiliteta, snižavanje mortaliteta, iseljavanje), ali su prisutne i neke nove pojave i procesi (smanjenje stanovništva, negativan prirodni priraštaj, masovne prisilne migracije). Autori ukazuju na međuzavisnost analiziranih promena komponenti demografskog rasta i odmaklog starenja stanovništva i zaključuju da su to najvažniji činioci koji će odlučujuće delovati na demografski razvitak Srbije u narednim decenijama.

Biografije autora

Goran D. Penev, Institut društvenih nauka Centar za demografska istraživanja Beograd
Dr demografije, naučni saradnik.
Jelena R. Predojević-Despić, Institut društvenih nauka Centar za demografska istraživanja Beograd
Dr demografije, naučni saradnik

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Objavljeno
2019/11/01
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Pregledni naučni rad