Geoekonomski aspekti saradnje Republike Srbije i NR Kine: stanje i perspektive

  • Ivana M. Božić Miljković Univerzitet „Union – Nikola Tesla”, Fakultet za diplomatiju i bezbednost, Beograd (Srbija)
Ključne reči: Srbija, Kina, saradnja, spoljna trgovina, investicije

Sažetak


Predmet ovog rada su ekonomski odnosi Republike Srbije i NR Kine od početka veka do danas. Razvoj ekonomskih odnosa i saradnje ima uporište u dugoj tradiciji njihovih dobrih političkih i diplomatskih odnosa. Odnos ovih dveju zemalja prema tranziciji i različite strategije u sprovođenju tog procesa determinante su njihovog ekonomskog uspeha i položaja koji imaju u globalnoj ekonomiji. Aspekti ekonomske saradnje Srbije i Kine analiziraju se u dve kategorije u kojima je ta saradnja najvidljivija i u kojima je njene efekte moguće precizno kvantitativno iskazati: saradnja u oblasti spoljne trgovine i saradnja u oblasti investicija. Osnovna hipoteza je da ekonomski odnosi Srbije i Kine od početka veka do danas beleže rapidan rast i da će se takav trend nastaviti i u budućnosti na bilateralnom nivou, ali i u okviru programa raznih platformi za saradnju koje su nastale na inicijativu Kine, a čija je potpisnica Srbija. Položaj Kine u međunarodnim institucijama omogućava zaštitu teritorijalnog integriteta Srbije što predstavlja još jednu važnu dimenziju njihovih međusobnih odnosa.

Reference

Bak, M. (2019). Central and Eastern European Countries toward the Belt and Road Initiative: The Role of 16+1 Initiative. Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies 11 (1–2) 11–36, 2019 DOI: 10.1177/0974910119871374

Benedetto, Z. (2016). The EEC’s Yugoslav Policy in Cold War Europe, 1968–1980. Edition Security, Conflict and Cooperation in the Contemporary World. Palgrave Macmillan DOI 10.1057/978-1-137-57978-2

BETA News Agency https://beta.rs/

Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-14/china-s-trade-surplushits-record-as-pandemic-fuels-exports

Božić Miljković, I. (2018). The economies of the Balkan countries at the beginning of the 21st century. Beograd: Institute of International Politics and Economics [In Serbian]

Božić Miljković, I. (2019). (Non)success of transitional reforms in the countries of former Yugoslavia. Sociološki pregled LIII ((3), 1102–1131. DOI: 10.5937/socpreg53-22140

Cvetković, V. N. (2017). Chinese Power and the Balkan Geopolitics (“Belt and Road”, A Realistic Forecast). In V. N. Cvetković (ed.) The New Silk Road: A Balkan Perspective (Political and Security Aspects), 21–42. Beograd: Univerzitet, Fakultet bezbednosti. Available at: https://fb.bg.ac.rs/download/Biblioteka/PosebnaIzdanja/Novi%20put%20svile%202016.pdf

Cvetković, V. N. (2018). Uncertain Future and Limited Time (On long-term non/sustainability of the new Silk Road). In V. N. Cvetković (ed.) The New Silk Road: A European Perspective (Security Challenges / Risks within the 16 + 1 Initiative), 21–46. Beograd: Univerzitet, Fakultet bezbednosti. Available at: http://fb.bg.ac.rs/download/Biblioteka/PosebnaIzdanja/Novi%20put%20svile%20-%20Evropska%20perspektiva%202018.pdf [In Serbian]

Čavoški, J. (2011). Overstepping the Balkan boundaries: The lesser known history of Yugoslavia’s early relations with Asian countries (new evidence from Yugoslav/Serbian archives). Cold War History 11(4), Taylor and Francis Group, 557–577. Available at: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14682741003704223

Dimitrijević, D. (2018). Relations between Serbia and China at the Beginning of the 21st Century. International problems Vol. LXX No. 1, 49–67. Available at: http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0025-8555/2018/0025-85551801049D.pdf [In Serbian]

Dželetović, M. (2020). Partnership of Serbia and China within the new Silk Road. In V. N. Cvetković (ed.) Belt and road: reality and expectations: the experience of Serbia, 135–154. Beograd: Univerzitet, Fakultet bezbednosti. https://doi.org/10.18485/fb_bri_se.2019.ch8 [In Serbian]

Đukić, S. (2015). Serbia’s relations with Russia – a review of the post-Yugoslav (post-Soviet) period. Challenges of foreign policy of Serbia, 31–36 Friedrich Ebert Stiftung & Evropski pokret u Srbiji. Available at: https://library.fes.de/pdf-files/bueros/belgrad/12483.pdf [In Serbian]

E.I.R. Strategic Alert, Weekly Newsletter, Volume 29, No. 37 – September 10, 2015.

FDI Markets https://www.fdimarkets.com/explore/

Flavin, C. & Gardner, G. (2006). China, India, and the New World Order. L. Starke (ed.) State of the World 2006 – The Challenge of Global Sustainability, 3–21 Routledge

García-Herrero, A, Kwok, K. C, Xiangdong, L, Summers, T, & Yansheng, Z. (2017). EU–China economic relations to 2025 building a common future. Bruegel, Chatham House, China Center for International Economic Exchanges and the Chinese University of Hong Kong. Available at: http://bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/CHHJ5627_China_EU_Report_170913_WEB.pdf

Huntington, S. P. (1993). Clash of Civilizations, Foreign Affairs, 3–27 https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/China-EU_-_international_trade_in_goods_statistics https://oec.world/en/profile/country/chn#trade-products

Igrutinović, M, Janjić, M & I Subotić, S. (2020). Sino-Serbian relations. What have we learned from the COVID-19 crisis? Policy Summary, 1–8. April 2020. Beograd: Centar za evropske politike. Available at: https://cep.org.rs/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/Kinesko-srpski-odnosi-%E2%80%93-%C5%A1ta-smo-nau%C4%8Dili-iz-krizeCOVID19-1.pdf. [In Serbian]

Invest in Serbia – Opportunities for Investors from China, September 2020, Government of the Republic of Serbia. Available at: http://www.ras.gov.rs/uploads/2020/10/eng-opportunities-for-investors-from-china-ras-1.pdf

Investopedia: https://www.investopedia.com/articles/markets-economy/090616/6-countries-produce-most-cars.asp

Jabbour, E. & Dantas, A. (2017). The political economy of reforms and the present Chinese transition. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, vol. 37 no. 4. São Paulo Oct./Dec. 2017 Available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0101-31572017v37n04a08

Jelisavac-Trošić, S. (2019). China’s accession to the World Trade Organization – process and effects. Megatrend revija, 16(1), 173–192. DOI: 10.5937/MegRev1901173J

Lianqi, Z. (2016) Timely innovative thinking writes new chapter in the cooperation in the Sino-Serbian economic and trade cooperation. Guoji Yuanzhu, July 2016, 90–91. Taken from: Szczudlik, J. (2016). When the Silk Road Meets the EU: Towards a New Era of Poland – China Relations. China Analysis. European Council on Foreign Relations. Available at: https://ecfr.eu/publication/chinas_investment_in_influence_the_future_of_161_cooperation7204/

Lišanin, M. (2012). Serbia’s foreign policy priorities. Politička revija 1/2012, 201–212. https://doi.org/10.22182/pr.3112012.10 [In Serbian]

Manchang, L. Serbia has reached highest number of agreements with China, other countries within 16+1 are jealous, Politika, 5 November 2016. Available at: http://www.politika.rs/scc/clanak/367192/Li-Mancang-Najvise-sporazuma-sa-Srbijom-drugi-ljubomorni. [In Serbian]

Milenkovic, M. (2016). EU integration and the introduction of State aid control in Serbia: Institutional challenges and reform prospects, Discussion Paper, No. 1/16, Europa-Kolleg Hamburg, Institute for European Integration, Hamburg. Available at: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/128494/1/847315797.pdf

NBS: https://nbs.rs/export/sites/NBS_site/documents-eng/finansijska-stabilnost/presentation_invest.pdf

Nikitović, V. (2019). Towards regional depopulation in Serbia. Beograd: Institut društvenih nauka. Available at: http://idn.org.rs/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/U_susret_regionalnoj_depopulaciji_sajt.pdf [In Serbian]

Nikolić, O. (2017). The collapse of federalism in Yugoslavia. Banja Luka: Godišnjak Fakulteta pravnih nauka, Year 7, No. 7, 185–192. DOI: https://doi.org/10.7251/GFP1707185N [In Serbian]

Obradović, Ž. (2016). Strategic Partnership of “small” Serbia and “big” China. Srpska politička misao 3/2016, 121–137. https://doi.org/10.22182/spm.5332016.7 [In Serbian]

Obradović, Ž. (2017). The One Belt, One Road: The Balkan Perspective (political security aspects). In V. N. Cvetković (ed) The New Silk Road: A Balkan Perspective (Political and Security Aspects), 83-98. Beograd: Fakultet bezbednosti. Available at: https://fb.bg.ac.rs/download/Biblioteka/PosebnaIzdanja/Novi%20put%20svile%202016.pdf [In Serbian]

Pepermans, A. (2018), China’s 16+1 and Belt and Road Initiative in Central and Eastern Europe: economic and political influence at a cheap price. Journal of Contemporary Central and Eastern Europe, 26 (2–3), 181–203, DOI: 10.1080/25739638.2018.1515862

Ping, H & Zuokui, L. (2018). Chinese Investments in CEEC: Development and Trend. In H. Ping & L. Zuokui (eds) 16+1 Cooperation and Chinese Investments in CEEC. China social and sciences Press, pp. 3–17. Available at: https://sha.static.vipsite.cn/media/thinktanken/attachments/de46a371ce64935e098160f8f8c057d9.pdf

Qi, S. (1980). It Was Tito Who Was the First One to Realise that There Should Not Be One Model of Socialism. Taken from: Li, J. (2018) Soviet Foreign Policy in the Early 1980s: A View from Chinese Sovietology. In D. Johanson, J. Li & T. Wu (eds.) New Perspectives on China’s Relations with the World: National, Transnational and International. Available at: https://www.e-ir.info/2018/12/07/soviet-foreign-policy-in-theearly-1980s-a-view-from-chinese-sovietology/

Simić, J. (2015). The New Silk Road Economic Belt: China’s Penetration of the West or Response to Asian Challenges. Međunarodni problemi, Vol. LXVII, No. 2–3, 196–217. https://doi.org/10.2298/MEDJP1503196S [In Serbian]

Simić, P. (2015). China-Southeast Europe Relations: Continuity and Change. In R. Pušić (ed) Pearls with rice grains: a collection of papers on the occasion of 40 years of Sinology: 1974–2014., 11–23. Beograd: Filološki fakultet u Beogradu [In Serbian]

Stakić, B. (2012). International Financial Institutions. Beograd: Univerzitet Singidunum [In Serbian]

Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia [RZS]. https://data.stat.gov.rs/Home/Result/170301?languageCode=sr-Latn

Stiglitz, E. J. (2002): Globalization and Its Discontents/ Beograd: SBM-x [In Serbian]

Šuvaković, U. (2013). Transition and Modernization. Srpska politička misao 3/2013, 57–75. https://doi.org/10.22182/spm.4132013.2 [In Serbian]

UN World Population Prospects: the 2017 Revision, p. 24 https://population.un.org/wpp/publications/files/wpp2017_keyfindings.pdf

UNCTAD. https://unctad.org/statistics;

Vasiev, M., Bi, K., Denisov, A., Bocharnikov, V. (2020). How COVID-19 Pandemic Influences Chinese Economic Sustainability. Foresight and STI Governance, Vol 14 (2), 7–22 DOI: 10.17323/2500-2597.2020.2.7.22

Visual Capitalist. “China’s Staggering Demand for Commodities. Available at: https://visualcapitalist.com/chinas-staggering-demand-commodities. / Accessed 03/2021

World Bank. World Development Indicators https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators#;

Xu, TL., Ao, MY., Zhou, X. et al. China’s practice to prevent and control COVID-19 in the context of large population movement. Infect Dis Poverty 9, 115 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40249-020-00716-0

Yeh, G. A, Yang, F. F. and Wang, J. (2015): Economic transition and urban transformation of China: The interplay of the state and the market. Urban Studies, 2822–2848. https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098015597110

Yifu Lin, J. (2016). Demystification of the Chinese economy. Beograd: Albatros plus. [In Serbian]

Zhangming, Y. (1984). The Realities and Trends of Contemporary Socialism Abroad. Problems of Contemporary World Socialism, 81–84. Taken from: Pavlićević, D. (2016). The Geoeconomics of Sino-Serbian relations: The view from China. China Analysis. European Council on Foreign Relations. Available at: https://www.academia.edu/30731121/The_Geoeconomics_of_Sino_Serbian_Relations_A_View_from_China.

Objavljeno
2021/04/08
Broj časopisa
Rubrika
Originalni naučni rad