Ocena funkcije tražnje za primarnim novcem u Republici Srbiji

  • Marija Vukovic POSLOVNA ŠKOLA, NOVI SAD
  • Ljiljana Miletic Univerzitet Educons, Sremska Kamenica, Fakultet za projekat i upravljanje inovacijama, Beograd, Srbija
  • Jelena Maravic Narodna banka Srbije
Ključne reči: Gross domestic product||, ||Bruto društveni proizvod, Inflation||, ||Inflacija, Reserve||, ||Zalihe, Money||, ||Novac, Demand||, ||Potražnja,

Sažetak


U ovom radu ispitana je relevantnost funkcije tražnje za primarnim novcem u Republici Srbiji, u periodu od januara 2002.godine do decembra 2015.godine (168 mesečnih observacija). Istraživanje je pokazalo pozitivne i statistički značajne koeficijente uz promenljive bruto društvenog proizvoda i pasivne kamatne stope na depozite. Model je pokazao očekivani i značajan predznak za inflaciju, odnosno negativnu korelaciju između inflacije i tražnje za primarnim novcem. Rezultati istraživanja sugerišu da će pri porastu očekivane inflacije od 1%, i ostalim nepromenjenim varijablama, doći do smanjenja tražnje za primarnim novcem za 754 miliona dinara. Što je veća očekivana inflacija, veća je tražnja za drugim oblicima aktive.

 

Biografija autora

Marija Vukovic, POSLOVNA ŠKOLA, NOVI SAD
Predavač

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2017/02/20
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