Fiskalna reakcija u odnosu na troškove kamata-slučaj Srbije

  • Vladimir Andric Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet
  • Milojko Arsic Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet
  • Aleksandra Nojkovic Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet
Ključne reči: Global Financial Crisis||, ||Globalna finansijska kriza, Augmented Fiscal Reaction Function||, ||Proširena Funkcija Fiskalne Reakcije, Fiscal Sustainability||, ||Fiskalna Održivost, Serbia||, ||Srbija, Payments||, ||Isplate, Debt||, ||Dug, Costs||, ||Troškovi,

Sažetak


U ovom radu fokusiramo se na reakciju primarnog fiskalnog bilansa na troškove kamata i zaduživanja na srpski javni dug pre, tokom i nakon izbijanja globalne finansijske krize. Naša analiza otkriva: i) kreatori ekonomske politike su finansirali i do 50% ukupnog rasta troškova kamata emisijom novog javnog duga; ii) nakon izbijanja globalne finansijske krize vlada smanjuje primarni fiskalni bilans uprkos rastu troškova kamata i zaduživanja; iii) reakcija primarnog fiskalnog bilansa na troškove kamata oponaša reakciju primarnog fiskalnog bilansa na troškove zaduživanja; iv) mere štednje usvojene nakon kršenja fiskalnih pravila za gornju granicu javnog duga su se pokazale kao nedovoljne za stabilizaciju javnih finansija u Srbiji.

Biografije autora

Vladimir Andric, Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet

PhD Candidate in Economics

Milojko Arsic, Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet
Associate Professor of Public Finance
Aleksandra Nojkovic, Univerzitet u Beogradu, Ekonomski fakultet
Associate Professor of Econometrics

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2017/01/23
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