Uticaj determinanti izvoza na izvozni sektor u Republici Srbiji

  • Milica Perić Singidunum univetrzitet
  • Sanja Filipović Ekonomski institut
Ključne reči: Regression||, ||Regresija, Macroeconomic indicators||, ||Makroekonomski indikatori, Correlation||, ||Korelacija, Export||, ||Izvoz,

Sažetak


Cilj rada je da utvrdi stepen uticaja izabranih determinanti na izvoz Republike Srbije za vremenski period od 2005. do 2016. godine. U radu je primenjena korelaciona matrica i Pearson-ov koeficijent kako bi se utvrdila veza između determinanti izvoza i izvoza putem SPSS 23 softvera. Pored toga, da bi se utvrdio stepen uticaja determinanti korišćena je linearna regresija. Rezultati istraživanja pokazaju postojanje značajne korelacije između izvoza i većeg broja determinanti izvoza, a to su: uvoz, BDP, BDP po broju stanovnika, štednja, stanovništvo, zaposlenost, produktivnost rada, kurs valute i potrošačke cene, kao i uticaj istih na izvoz. Analiza takođe pokazuje da ne postoji direktna veza između izvoza i stranih direktnih investicija (SDI), investicija i industrijske proizvodnje.

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2018/07/23
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