Doprinos turističke industrije rastu BDP-a u zemljama zapadnog Balkana

  • Slobodan Čerović Univerzitet Singidunum, Fakultet za turistički i hotelijerski menadžment
  • Miroslav Knežević Univerzitet Singidunum, Fakultet za turistički i hotelijerski menadžment
  • Vladimir Matović Univerzitet Singidunum, Fakultet za biznis
  • Ivana Brdar Univerzitet Singidunum, Fakultet za turistički i hotelijerski menadžment
Ključne reči: Economic Growth||, ||Ekonomski rast, Tourism||, ||Turizam, Western Balkans||, ||Zapadni Balkan, GDP||, ||GDP, Economic impact||, ||Ekonomski uticaj, Tourism industry||, ||Turistučka industrija,

Sažetak


Turistička industrija beleži različite ekonomske, društvene, političke i druge uticaje koji joj obezbeđuju važnu poziciju u ukupnom privrednom razvoju velikog broja zemalja. Analiziranje dostupnih podataka o kretanju turista i noćenjima koja su ostvarili u zemljama koje smo posmatrali navelo nas je da naše istraživanje usmerimo ka izračunavanju doprinosa turizma ukupnom ekonomskom rastu. Koristeći modifikovanu metodologiju koju su upotrebili Brida, Pereyra i Deves (2008), za izračunavanje stope rasta realnog GDP-a i doprinosa turizma ukupnom ekonomskom rastu, u ovom radu smo pokazali da turizam, uprkos kontinuiranom povećanju broja stranih turista, ima skroman direktni doprinos ukupnom ekonomskom rastu zemalja Zapadnog Balkana (Srbija, Makedonija, Crna Gora). Stepen doprinosa turizma ekonomskom rastu u posmatranim zemljama je različit i značajno vezan za raznovrsnost i kvalitet ponude (najveći doprinos ekonomskom rastu turizam ima u Crnoj Gori a najmanji u Makedoniji)

Reference

Blake, A., & et al., (2001). Modelling Tourism and Travel Using Tourism Satellite Accounts and Tourism Policy and Forecasting Models. Retrieved from http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/ttri/pdf/2001_4.pdf

Blake, A., & et al., (2006). Integrating forecasting and CGE models: The case of tourism in Scotland. Tourism Management,27, 292-305. doi:10.1016/j.tourman.2004.11.005

Blanke, J., & Chiesa, T. (2013). The Travel & Tourism Competitiveness Report. Geneva: World Economic Forum.

Brida, J.G., & et al., (2008). Evaluating the contribution of tourism to economic growth. Anatolia: An International Journal of Tourism and Hospitality Research, 19(2), 351-356. doi:10.1080/13032917.2008.9687079

Chen, M.H. (2010). The economy, tourism growth and corporate performance in the Taiwanese hotel industry. Tourism Management, 31(5), 665-675. doi:10.1016/j.tourman.2009.07.011

Čačić, K. (2013). Poslovanje hotelskih preduzeća. Beograd: Univerzitet Singidunum.

Čerović, S., & et al., (2015). The Impact of Economic Crisis and Non-Economic Factors on the Tourism Industry in Zlatibor.The European Journal of Applied Economics, 12(1), 1-9. doi:10.5937/ejae12-8160

Dupeyras, A., & MacCallum, N. (2013). Indicators for Measuring Competitiveness in Tourism: A Guidance Document. OECD Publishing. doi:10.1787/5k47t9q2t923-en

Dwyer, L., & et al., (2003). Inter-industry Effects of Tourism Growth: Implications for Destination Managers. Tourism Economics, 9(2), 117-132. doi:10.5367/000000003101298303

Eugenio-Martin, J.L., & Campos-Soria, J.A. (2014). Economic crisis and tourism expenditure cutback decision. Annals of Tourism Research, 44, 53-73. doi:10.1016/j.annals.2013.08.013

Frechtling, D.C. (2010). The tourism satellite account: A primer. Annals of Tourism Research, 37(1), 136-153. doi:10.1016/j.annals.2009.08.003

Holloway, C.J., & et al., (2009). The Business of Tourism. London: Pearson.

Inkson, C., & Minnaert, L. (2012). . Tourism Management, An Introduction, SAGE Publication: London.

Ivanov, S., & Webster, C. (2007). Measuring the impact of tourism on economic growth. Tourism Economics, 13(3), 379-388. doi:10.5367/000000007781497773

Lee, C.C., & Chang, C.P. (2008). Tourism development and economic growth: A closer look at panels. Tourism management, 29(1), 180-192. doi:10.1016/j.tourman.2007.02.013

Lew, A.A. (2011). Tourism's role in the global economy. Tourism Geographies: An International Journal of Tourism Space, Place and Environment, 13(1), 148-151. doi:10.1080/14616688.2010.531046

Ma, M., & Hassink, R. (2013). An evolutionary perspective on tourism area development. Annals of Tourism Research, 41, 89-109. doi:10.1016/j.annals.2012.12.004

Marttinen, P., Pirinen, M., Sarin, A.P., Gillberg, J., Kettunen, J., Surakka, I., & Kaski, S. (2014). Assessing multivariate gene-metabolome associations with rare variants using Bayesian reduced rank regression. Bioinformatics,doi:10.1093/bioinformatics/btu140

Mullahy, J. (2015). Multivariate fractional regression estimation of econometric share models. Journal of Econometric Methods, 4(1), 71-100. doi:10.1515/jem-2012-0006

Munjal, P. (2013). Measuring the economic impact of the tourism industry in India using the Tourism Satellite Account and input-output analysis. Tourism Economics, 19(6), 1345-1359. doi:10.5367/te.2013.0239

Pender, L., & Sharpley, R. (2005). The Management of Tourism. London: SAGE Publication.

Richardson, R.B. (2010). The Contribution of Tourism to Economic Growth and Food Security. USAID Mali, Office of Economic Growth. Retrieved from http://ageconsearch.umn.edu/bitstream/97140/2/Tourism_and_food_security_in_Mali_A4.pdf

Ridderstaat, J., Croes, R., & Nijkamp, P. (2014). Tourism and Long‐run Economic Growth in Aruba. International Journal of Tourism Research, 16(5), 472-487. doi:10.1002/jtr.1941

Sekulović, N. (2012). Turizam u uslovima delovanja krize. Beograd: Univerzitet Singidunum.

Sharpley, R., & Telfer, D.J. (2015). Tourism and development: Concepts and issues. Bristol: Channel View Publications.

Sugiyarto, G., Blake, A., & Sinclair, M.T. (2003). Tourism and globalization: Economic impact in Indonesia. Annals of Tourism Research, 30(3), 683-701. doi:10.1016/S0160-7383(03)00048-3

Taušer, J., & et al., (2015). Czech exports and German GDP: A closer look. Prague Economic Papers, 24(1), 17-37. doi:10.18267/j.pep.498

Temirbulatova, M., & Borza, M. (2015). Multifunctional development of rural areas of kazakhstanwith the application of the unified model of tourism in the context of sustainable development and the green economy. European Scientific Journal, 11(1), 200-216.

Unković, S., & Zečević, B. (2014). Ekonomika turizma. Beograd: Ekonomski fakultet u Beogradu, Centar za izdavačku delatnost.

Wang, Z.P., & et al., (2012). Spatial Strategic Orientation and Distribution of the Tourism Development in Minority Areas: A Case of Linxia Hui Autonomous Prefecture. Advanced Materials Research, 361-363, 1748-1751. doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.361-363.1748

Weaver, D., & Lawton, L. (2010). Tourism Management. Milton: Wiley & Sons.

Webster, C., & Ivanov, S. (2014). Transforming competitiveness into economic benefits: Does tourism stimulate economic growth in more competitive destinations. Tourism Management, 40, 137-140. doi:10.1016/j.tourman.2013.06.003

Zhou, D., & et al., (1997). Estimating economic impacts from tourism. Annals of Tourism Research, 24(1), 76-89.

Retrieved from http://webrzs.stat.gov.rs/WebSite/Public/PageView.aspx?pKey=2

Retrieved from http://www.monstat.org/cg/page.php?id=19&pageid=19

Retrieved from http://www.stat.gov.mk/GSearch_en.aspx?cx=005984792435174779271%3Av7t0sn-wu1a&cof=FORID%3A10&ie=UTF-8&q=GDP+in+real+price&sa=Search

Retrieved from http://www.wttc.org/-/media/files/reports/economic%20impact%20research/countries%202015/serbia2015.pdf

(2015) Retrieved from http://www.e-unwto.org/doi/book/10.18111/9789284416899

Objavljeno
2015/12/07
Broj časopisa
Rubrika
Originalni naučni članak