Prediction model of blast furnace molten iron temperature and molten iron silicon content based on improved arithmetic optimization twin support vector machine for regression
Abstract
The temperature and silicon content of blast furnace molten iron are directly related to its quality. Therefore, establishing an effective prediction model for these parameters is crucial. To address these issues, an Improved Arithmetic Optimization Twin Support Vector Machine for Regression (LAOA-TSVR) model was developed to predict the temperature and silicon content of blast furnace molten iron. Initially, SPSS was used to perform a correlation analysis and identify the main influencing factors. Secondly, to verify the model's predictive performance, it was compared with three commonly used prediction models: Back Propagation Neural Network (BP), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Twin Support Vector Machine for Regression (TSVR). Preliminary results indicate that the prediction accuracy of the LAOA-TSVR model is significantly higher than that of the other models. Finally, the model was applied to the actual production process of an iron mill for a total of 200 furnaces. The results show that the hit rates of molten iron temperature and silicon content within the error ranges of ±5% and ±0.5%, respectively, are 92.12% and 92.53%, with a corresponding double-hit rate of 85.32%. The model effectively meets the production requirements of an iron mill and provides valuable guidance for the blast furnace production process.
References
[2] X.Liu, L.Chen, H.Feng, X.Qin, Sun F, Constructal design of a blast furnace iron-making process based on multi-objective optimization,Energy, 109 (2016) 137-151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2016.04.101
[3] G.Deodatis, M.Shinozuka, Auto‐Regressive Model for Nonstationary Stochastic Processes, Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 114 (11) (1988) 01.https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9399(1988)114:11(1995)
[4] R.Ostermark, H.Saxen, VARMAX-modelling of blast furnace process variables, European Journal of Operational Research, 90 (1) (1996) 85-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(94)00304-1
[5] J.Chen, A predictive system for blast furnaces by integrating a neural network with qualitative analysis Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence, 14 (1) (2001) 77-85. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0952-1976(00)00062-2
[6] W.Chen, B.Wang, H.Han, Prediction and control for silicon content in pig iron of blast furnace by integrating artificial neural network with genetic algorithm. Ironmaking & Steelmaking, 37 (6) (2010) 458-463. https://doi.org/10.1179/174328109X445769
[7] S. Barik, R. Bhandari, M. K. Mondal, Optimization of Wire Arc Additive Manu-facturing Process Parameters for Low-Carbon Steel and Properties Prediction by Support Vector Regression Model, Steel Research International, 95 (1) (2024). https://doi.org/10.1002/srin.202300369
[8] SM. Acosta, AL Amoroso, ÂMO Sant’Anna, OC Junior, Predictive modeling in a steelmaking process using optimized relevance vector regression and support vector regression. Ann Oper Res, 316 (2022) 905–926. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-021-04053-9
[9] C Giannetti, E Borghini, A Carr, J Raleigh, B Rackham, Deep learning for robust forecasting of hot metal silicon content in a blast furnace, The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00170-024-13214-6
[10] C.Shi, B.Wang, J.Chen, R.Zhong, S.Guo, P.Sun, Bending Force of Hot Rolled Strip Based on Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm and Twinning Support Vector Machine, Metals, 12 (10) (2022). https://doi.org/10.3390/met12101589
[11] C.Shi, S.Guo, J.Chen, R.Zhong, B.Wang, P.Sun, Z.Ma, Breakout Prediction Based on Twin Support Vector Machine of Improved Whale Optimization Algo-rithm. ISIJ International, 63 (5) (2023) 880-888. https://doi.org/10.2355/isijinternational.ISIJINT-2022-372
[12] C.Shi, S.Guo, B.Wang, X.Yin, P.Sun, Y.Wang, L. Zhang, R.Chen, Z.Ma, The for-cast of slag addition during the ladle furnace (LF) refining process based on LWOA-TSVR, Metalurgija, 62 (2) (2023) 197-200.
[13] L.Abualigah, A.Diabat, S.Mirjalili, A.Mohamed, A.Gandomi, The Arithmetic Optimization Algorithm, Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engi-neering, 376 (2021) 113609. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cma.2020.113609
[14] J.Li., Q.An, H.Lei., Q.Deng.,G.Wang, Survey of Lévy Flight-Based Metaheuris-tics for Optimization, Mathematics, 10 (15) (2022) 2785. https://doi.org/10.3390/math10152785
[15] H Haklı, H Uğuz, A novel particle swarm optimization algorithm with Levy flight, Applied Soft Computing, 23 (2014) 333-345. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2014.06.034
[16] Xue J. and Shen B., A novel swarm intelligence optimization approach: sparrow search algorithm, Systems Science & Control Engineering. 8(1) (2020) 22–34. https://doi.org/10.1080/21642583.2019.1708830.
[17] X Peng, TSVR: An efficient Twin Support Vector Machine for regression, Neu-ral Networks, 23 (3) (2010) 365-372. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neunet.2009.07.002.
Authors retain copyright of the published papers and grant to the publisher the non-exclusive right to publish the article, to be cited as its original publisher in case of reuse, and to distribute it in all forms and media.
The Author(s) warrant that their manuscript is their original work that has not been published before; that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere; and that its publication has been approved by all co-authors, if any, as well as tacitly or explicitly by the responsible authorities at the institution where the work was carried out. The Author(s) affirm that the article contains no unfounded or unlawful statements and does not violate the rights of others. The author(s) also affirm that they hold no conflict of interest that may affect the integrity of the Manuscript and the validity of the findings presented in it. The Corresponding author, as the signing author, warrants that he/she has full power to make this grant on behalf of the Author(s). Any software contained in the Supplemental Materials is free from viruses, contaminants or worms.The published articles will be distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution ShareAlike 4.0 International license (CC BY-SA).
Authors are permitted to deposit publisher's version (PDF) of their work in an institutional repository, subject-based repository, author's personal website (including social networking sites, such as ResearchGate, Academia.edu, etc.), and/or departmental website at any time after publication.
Upon receiving the proofs, the Author(s) agree to promptly check the proofs carefully, correct any typographical errors, and authorize the publication of the corrected proofs.
The Corresponding author agrees to inform his/her co-authors, of any of the above terms.