IZVOZ KAO POKRETAČ PRIVREDNOG RASTA REPUBLIKE SRBIJE
Ključne reči:
izvoz, pokretač, spoljnotrgovinska razmena, privredni rast, Srbija
Sažetak
Poslednjih godina Srpski izvoz je, praćen prilivom stranih direktnih investicija, znatno unapređen, što je rezultiralo jačanjem privrednog rasta. Međutim, i pored pozitivnih predviđanja Evropske komisije za dalji rast izvoza i skok privrednog rasta Srbije, naša privreda se suočava sa velikim posledicama aktuelne pandemije virusom COVID-19, koji je zahvatio ceo svet. Rad ima za cilj da predstavi aktuelnu makroekonomsku sliku Republike Srbije kroz analizu uvozne i izvozne politike, obim spoljnotrgovinske razmene i njihov uticaj na privredni rast. U odnosu na postavljene ciljeve, rad je podeljen u četiri tematske celine, sa zaključcima i mogućim preporukama na kraju. Poseban naglasak je stavljen na izvoz, njegove razvojne mogućnosti i unapređivanje konkurentnosti, kao i prikaz preporuka u okviru Nove agende za privredni rast Srbije. Predmet rada baziran je na teorijskoj analizi podataka, putem deskriptivne i komparativne metode kao i sintezi teorijskih i empirijskih činjenica. Za potrebe ovog istraživanja primarni empirijski podaci su prikupljeni iz različitih relevantnih izvora.
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http://ndes.ekof.bg.ac.rs/downloadsakta/zbornik2010deo2.pdf
Djordjevic, M., Lojanica, N. (2017), Effects of the globalization process on the economic development of Sumadija and Pomoravlje, University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, p. 3-13.http://www.ekfak.kg.ac.rs/images/Nir/ProjekatFakulteta/Zbornik2017-Uticaj_globalizacije_na_poslovno_upravljanje_i_ekonomski_razvoj_Šumadije_i_Po4moravlja.pdf
Gajic, M. (2018), Top 10 economic misconceptions in Serbia, Libertarian Club, Belgrade, The Myth of Trade Deficit, p. 44-48.
Garovic, N. (2016), Determinants of export growth and analysis of the possibility of increasing exports of Serbia, doctoral dissertation, Faculty of Economics, Finance and Administration, Singidunum University, Belgrade, retrieved on 22.06.2020. from:
https://nardus.mpn.gov.rs/bitstream/handle/123456789/6615/Disertacija%20-%20Neboj%C5%A1a%20Gagovi%C4%87.pdf?sequence=4&isAllowed=y
Jankovic, N., Dugalic.V, (2017) The impact of globalization on the export potential of Sumadija and Pomoravlje, University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, p. 45-57.
http://www.ekfak.kg.ac.rs/images/Nir/ProjekatFakulteta/Zbornik2017-Uticaj_globalizacije_na_poslovno_upravljanje_i_ekonomski_razvoj_Šumadije_i_Pomoravlja.pdf
Jankovic, N. (2013), Problems of competitiveness of Serbian exports, Markovic, D., Vuksanovic, E., Stefanovic, R. i Ljubisavljevic, S. (ur), Thematic collection of papers: Finance and accounting in the function of economic growth, Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, University of Kragujevac 3, p. 83-102.
Kostic, Z, Ilic, I. and Mladenovic, J. (2014), Export potential of Serbia in new global conditions, Kovacevic, M. and Grecić V. (eds.), State and perspectives of economic and financial relations of Serbia with foreign countries, Belgrade, NDES with the Academy of Economic Sciences and the Faculty of Economics in Belgrade, p. 221-236.
Markovic, J., Toskovic, J. (2013), The scope and importance of trade cooperation of the Republic of Serbia, Business Economics - Journal of Business Economics, Entrepreneurship and Finance, year VII, number 2, vol. XIII, Educons University, Sremska Kamenica, p. 229-248.
Markovic, J., Toskovic, J., Gacic, M. (2013), The Impact of Unemployment on the Quality of Life in Serbia, 12th International Scientific Conference, Synergy University, Bijeljina, Bosnia and Herzegovina, p. 470-476.
Nikolic, G. (2005), Influence of foreign trade on economic growth, Ekonomski anali nr. 165, p.145-164. http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0013-3264/2005/0013-32640565145N.pdf
Nikolic, G. (2018), Economic determinism of Serbia's foreign policy: the crucial importance of European integration for the domestic economy, International problems, Vol. LXX, No. 1/2018, Belgrade, p. 11–27.
https://www.diplomacy.bg.ac.rs/pdf/medj_problemi/2018/Medjunarodni_problemi_br.1_2018.pdf
Popovcic - Avric, S. (2010), Possible options for improving the competitiveness of Serbian exports, How to increase the competitiveness of the economy and exports of Serbia, Proceedings, Scientific Society of Economists of Serbia and the Faculty of Economics in Belgrade, ISBN 978-86-403-1095- 6, retrieved 21.08.2020. from:
http://ndes.ekof.bg.ac.rs/downloadsakta/zbornik2010deo2.pdf
Porter M. (2000), Location, Competition, and Economic Development: Local Clusters in a Global Economy, Economic Development Quarterly 14, pp. 15-34.
Radonjic O. (2005), Globalization in the Balkans: Free Trade Agreement and the Perspectives of Attracting Large Institutional Investors on the Domestic Capital Market, Sociology, Vol. XLVI (2004), http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0038-0318/2004/0038-03180402167R.pdf
World Bank (2019), Serbia’s New Growth Agenda - Forging a New Future
http://pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/782101580729358303/Serbia-CEM-Synthesis-web.pdf
Stojanovic, D. (2018), Foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth in Serbia, Business Economics, Journal of Business Economics, Entrepreneurship and Finance, Year XII, No. 1 vol. XXII, Educons University, Sremska Kamenica, p. 54-73.
Stosić, I., Malovic, M., Zubovic, J., Domazet, I. (2015), Proposal of public policy measures in the field of implementing structural changes in Serbia, Institute of Economic Sciences, Belgrade. http://ebooks.ien.bg.ac.rs/1046/1/Predlog%20mera%20javnih%20politika%20-%20finalna%20verzija.pdf
Toskovic. J. (2016), Reviewing the application of the neoliberal concept of economy in the Western Balkans, Doctoral dissertation, Educons University, Sremska Kamenica.
Veselinovic, P. (2012), Challenges of economic science in the conditions of global economic science, Economic topics 50, University of Economics Nis, p. 433-450.
Veselinovic, P. (2014), Export potential of Serbia in new global conditions, Kovacević, M. and Grecic V. (eds.), State and perspectives of economic and financial relations of Serbia with foreign countries, Belgrade, NDES with the Academy of Economic Sciences and the Faculty of Economics in Belgrade, p. 63-82.
Web addresses:
World Trade Organization (2020), WTO Data Portal, https://data.wto.org/
Retrieved: 23.08.2020.
World Bank (2018), Serbia Agribusiness Value Chains Strategy Note, Performance Analysis of the Value Chain of the Food and Beverage Sector, CEVES and the Serbian Chamber of Commerce 2017. https://ceves.org.rs/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Integralni-izvestaj-analize-performansi-i-lanaca-vrednosti-odabranih-sektora.pdf
Retrieved 19.08.2020.
World Bank (2020),
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.IMP.GNFS.CD?end=2008&start=2006&view=chart
Retrieved 23.08.2020.
World Bank (2020),
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.IMP.GNFS.CD?end=2008&start=2006&view=charthttps://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.TOTL. ZS? End = 2017 & start = 2016 & view = chart
Retrieved 23.08.2020.
World Bank (2020), Trading for Development. World Development Report
https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2020
Retrieved 24.08.2020