Engleski Uticaj budžetskih deficita na GDP u zemljama EU od 2000. do 2022. godine.
Sažetak
Budžetski deficit je tema koja ima značajan uticaj na ekonomski razvoj i stabilnost. Nastaje kada rashodi vlade premašuju prihode, što obično dovodi do zaduživanja kako bi se pokrio razlika. Deficit može imati i pozitivne i negativne efekte, u zavisnosti od toga kako se koristi i od trenutne ekonomske situacije. Ovaj naučni rad istražuje uticaj budžetskih deficita na GDP u zemljama EU. Istraživanje je sprovedeno za period od 2000. do 2022. godine. Cilj studije je da proceni uticaj budžetskih deficita na GDP pregledom relevantne literature i korišćenjem statističkog modela, konkretno GLS modela u softverskom paketu STATA. Pored budžetskih deficita kao nezavisne varijable, korišćene su i varijable inflacije, zdravstva, nezaposlenosti i štednje. Na osnovu sprovedenog istraživanja, utvrđen je značajan pozitivan uticaj budžetskih deficita na GDP u zemljama EU. Ostali potencijalni faktori koji bi mogli imati uticaj nisu uključeni u model, što može dovesti do pristrasnosti usled izostavljenih varijabli. Iako je istraživanje koristilo napredne tehnike za panel podatke i rešavalo izazove poput nebalansiranih panela i prisustva heteroskedastičnosti i autokorelacije, preostali efekti i dalje mogu uticati na rezultate. Buduće studije mogle bi uključiti više makroekonomskih varijabli, kao što su kamatne stope, trgovinski bilans i struktura javnog duga.
Reference
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