Empirijska analiza izvozne strukture Makedonske ekonomije: uloga metalne industrije

  • Darko Lazarov University Goce Delchev, Stip
  • Mitko Kocovski Makstil a.d - Skopje
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/industrija45-12015
Ključne reči: Economic Growth||, ||Ekonomski rast, Macedonian||, ||Makedonija, Export||, ||Izvoz,

Sažetak


Osnovni je cilj rada   analiza izvozne strukture i izvozne performanse makedonske ekonomije na osnovi  primene nekoliko relevantnih indeksa: kompleksnost proizvoda, izvozna sofisticiranost, izvozna diverzificiranost i izvozna standardnost. Osim toga, rad analizira sofisticiranost metalne industrije i njen učinak u makedonskoj ekonomija kao jedan od najvećih izvoznih sektora i istražuje njene kapacitete za dalju diverzifikaciju proizvoda. Procenjeni rezultati pokazuju da makedonska izvozna korpa je visoko koncentrisana (prvih deset proizvoda čine skoro polovinu izvoza zemlje i više od 70 odsto izvoza ide u nekoliko zemalja) i što je još važnije, struktura izvoza se sastoji od proizvoda  niske dodatne vrednosti. Osim toga, rezultati pokazuju da je struktura izvoza  manje diverzifikovana, što ekonomiju prave veoma osetljivu na spoljne šokove. S druge strane, analiza učinka metalne industrije ukazuje da ova industrija ima komparativne prednosti (KP = 2.16) i što je još važnije ima jake kapacitete za dalju diverzifikaciju i   mogućnosti za proizvodnju više kompleksnijih proizvoda. Dakle, rad predlaže kreatorima ekonomske politike u Makedoniji da kreira aktivnu industrijsku politiku koja će stimulisati strukturnu transformaciju metalne industrije i proizvodnju proizvoda sa većom dodatnom vrednošću.

Biografije autora

Darko Lazarov, University Goce Delchev, Stip
His main scientific and research interests are Financial and International Macroeconomics, Industrial Economics and Economic Growth and Development. His has realized several research studies at Bologna University; High School of Economics -Moscow; Jaume I, Spain. His is actively involved in few research projects in Macedonian Academy of Science and Macedonian Chamber of Commerce. He has attended Advanced Macroeconomic course at Macedonian National Bank organized by CERGE, Prague. He also has been part of many international scientific conferences
Mitko Kocovski, Makstil a.d - Skopje
He is director of strategic planing and research departmant at Makstil a.d Skopje. He has been a visting professor at University "Goce Delcev" Stip for a five years (2009-2014). Now, he is a visiting professor at University of Tourism and Managment - Skopje.

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Objavljeno
2017/05/12
Broj časopisa
Vol. 45 Br. 1 (2017)
Rubrika
Originalni naučni članak