Prediction and analysis of Slovakian timber trade on global market conditions

  • Miloš Gejdoš Technical University in Zvolen
  • Marek Potkány Technical University in Zvolen

Sažetak


In Slovakian forestry the main source of finance is the wood sale. The main aim of this paper is to evaluate the assortments supply structure (quality management), prices development for the coniferous sawlogs and to set the future prediction of this development in new global market conditions, which are affected mainly by the global climate changes. Price changes were analysed for the period of the years from 2000 to March 2016 for the spruce and fir sawlogs. Data about the volume supply of raw-wood assortments in Slovakia for years 2005-2014 were collected from “Green Reports“ published by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of the Slovak Republic. From the influence factors in the studied period, the biggest impact was assigned to the global economic crisis. The prediction captures the further decline of prices of raw-wood assortments. In the second half of the year 2016 the price of sawlogs decreased by € 4 per 1 m3. Local impacts, the structure of wood processors and specific trade area in Slovakia affected substantially the structure of assortments on Market. There is also some space for a better evaluation of harvested wood.

Biografije autora

Miloš Gejdoš, Technical University in Zvolen
Faculty of Forestry, Department of Forest Harvesting, Logistics and Ameliorations,
Marek Potkány, Technical University in Zvolen
Faculty of Wood Sciences and Technology, Department of Business Economics,

Reference

Anonymous. (2015). Green report, years 2005 – 2015, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural development of the Slovak Republic (www.mpsr.sk).

Cipra, T. (1986). Analysis of time series with economy applications. SNTL Prague. (In Czech).

Gejdoš, M., Suchomel, J., & Stasiak-Betlejewska, R. (2011). Analysis of wood resources and price comparation in Slovakia and selected countries. In: Proceedings of the 4th International Conference Woodworking Techniques, ČZU Prague, 451-460.

Grzegorzewska, E., & Stasiak-Betlejewska, R. (2015). The influence of global crisis on financial liquidity and changes in corporate debt of the furniture sector in Poland. Drvna Industrija, 65 (4), 315-322.

Grladinović, T., Oblak, L., & Hitka, M. (2007). Production management information system in wood processing and furniture manufacture. Drvna Industrija, 58 (3), 2007, 141-146.

Hinsch, Ch., & Wächter, F. (2014). Why we need 100 percent renewable energies: A Plea for the Energiewende. Serbian Journal of Management, 9 (1), 121 – 130.

Holzkurier. (years 2000-2015).

Němec, M., Dado, M., & Danihelová, Z. (2014). Document A study on occupational noise exposure of sawmill workers. Akustika, 21 (1), 31-34.

Suchomel, J., Gejdoš, M., Ambrušová, L., & Šulek, R. (2012). Analysis of price changes of selected roundwood assortments in some Central Europe countries. Journal of Forest Science, 11, 483–491.

Patráš, I. (2015). Transparency as one of the objectives from National Program the Wood Utilization Potential in Slovakia – Rating as one of the tools for reaching the transparency. In: Current problems in financing of forestry-wood complex. TU Zvolen. (In Slovak).

Simanov, V. (2009). Fuel, or assortment for energy use? Biom.cz [online]. 2009-07-27 [cit. 2011-06-20]. Available at: <http://biom.cz/cz/odborne-clanky/palivo-nebo-sortimenty-uzitkoveho-drivi?sel_ids=1&ids[x63eb9e2d85f315a7d7faeed949f0fd0a]=1>. (In Czech)

Suchomel, J., & Gejdoš, M. (2009). Forest harvesting and transportation technologies: part assortments of raw-wood and commodity expertising in Forestry. TU Zvolen.

Suchomel, J., & Gejdoš, M. (2008). Development analysis of technical onditions and prices of raw-wood assortments. TU Zvolen. (In Slovak).

Teplická, K., Čulková, K., & Železník, O. (2015). Application of bayess principle optimum – Optimization model for managerial decision and continual improvement. Polish Journal of Management Studies, 12 (2), 170-179.

Web references:

www.nbs.sk

www.cnb.cz

www.czso.cz

www.forestportal.sk

Objavljeno
2017/05/11
Rubrika
Originalni naučni članak