OTKRIVANJE PROGNOSTIČKE MOĆI RANE SIMPTOMATOLOGIJE UMERENO TEŠKIH DO TEŠKIH OBLIKA COVID-19 BOLESTI

  • Branko Beronja Medicinski fakultet, Univerzitet u Beogradu, Beograd, Srbija
  • Olja Stevanović Klinika za infektivne i tropske bolesti, Univerzitetski Klinički Centar Srbije, Beograd, Srbija
  • Nataša Nikolić Medicinski fakultet, Univerzitet u Beogradu, Beograd, Srbija; Klinika za infektivne i tropske bolesti, Univerzitetski Klinički Centar Srbije, Beograd, Srbija
  • Nevena Todorović Klinika za infektivne i tropske bolesti, Univerzitetski Klinički Centar Srbije, Beograd, Srbija
  • Ana Filipović Klinika za infektivne i tropske bolesti, Univerzitetski Klinički Centar Srbije, Beograd, Srbija
  • Jelena Simić Klinika za infektivne i tropske bolesti, Univerzitetski Klinički Centar Srbije, Beograd, Srbija
  • Tatjana Gazibara Institut za Epidemiologiju, Medicinski fakultet, Univerzitet u Beogradu, Beograd, Srbija
  • Jelena Dotlić Klinika za ginekologiju i akušerstvo, Univerzitetski Klinički Centar Srbije, Beograd, Srbija
  • Biljana Lukić Opšta bolnica "Dr Radivoj Simonović", Sombor, Srbija
  • Aleksandra Karan Opšta bolnica "Dr Radivoj Simonović", Sombor, Srbija
  • Ivana Milošević Medicinski fakultet, Univerzitet u Beogradu, Beograd, Srbija; Klinika za infektivne i tropske bolesti, Univerzitetski Klinički Centar Srbije, Beograd, Srbija
Ključne reči: COVID-19, prognoza, jedinica intezivne nege, smrtni ishod, simptomi

Sažetak


Uvod: Nije u potpunosti jasno koji početni simptomi mogu biti prediktori  loših ishoda COVID-19 bolesti . Cilj ove studije je bio  da identifikuje početne simptome i znake COVID-19 bolesti povezane sa potrebom  lečenja u jedinici intenzivne nege (JIN) i smrtnim ishodom.

Metode: Sprovedena je retrospektivna analiza pacijenata koji su hospitalizovani u dve zdravstvene ustanove (u Beogradu i Somboru) od marta 2021. do aprila 2022. godine. Podaci su prikupljeni iz elektronske medicinske dokumentacije. Glavni ishodi bili su lečenje i umiranje u JIN. Korišćen je Koksov proporcionalni regresioni model kako bi se identifikovali početni simptomi i znaci COVID-19 povezani sa lečenjem i umiranjem u JIN..

Rezultati: U ovom istraživanju učestvovalo je 457 pacijenata. Prosečna starost pacijenata iznosila je 63,77±13,75 godina. Najčešći početni simptomi i znaci COVID-19 bili su febrilnost (85,1%), kašalj (77,2%) i malaksalost (54,5%). Najređi početni simptomi bili su promuklost (2,8%), teškoće pri gutanju (2,8%) i svrab očiju (1,7%). Model korigovan na relevantne faktore pokazao je da su stariji uzrast i bol u grudima nezavisno povezani sa potrebom za lečenjem u JIN. Takođe, stariji urast, otežano disanje, glavobolja i dijareja, kao i odsustvo nazalne kongestije, bili su nezavisni prediktori smrtnog ishoda.

Zaključak: Rezultati ove studije ukazuju na važnost pažljivog praćenja i brze intervencije kod pacijenata koji se javljaju sa bolom u grudima, otežanim disanjem, glavoboljom, dijarejom, posebno ako se radi o starijim osobama.

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2024/04/26
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