Modeling of combat operations

Mladen S. Kostić; Aca D.  Jovanović; Mitar V.  Kovač

doi:10.5937/vojtehg71-43509

Mladen S. Kostić Univerzitet Edukons, Fakultet za projektni i inovacioni menadžment, Beograd, Republika Srbija https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3277-7256
Aca D. Jovanović Univerzitet Edukons, Fakultet za projektni i inovacioni menadžment, Beograd, Republika Srbija https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2284-5875
Mitar V. Kovač Univerzitet Edukons, Fakultet za projektni i inovacioni menadžment, Beograd, Republika Srbija https://orcid.org/0009-0007-6591-6043

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/vojtehg71-43509

Ključne reči: vazduhoplovno-kopnene borbene operacije, iscrpljivanje, model agregatnih snaga

Sažetak

Uvod/cilj: Cilj istraživanja je provera i procena aproksimativne metode modela strategijskih borbenih dejstava agregatnih snaga, baziranim na Lančesterovim jednačinama.

Metode: Studijom slučaja poznate operacije „Pustinjska oluja” prikupljeni su potrebni podaci o borbenim sposobnostima i snazi neprijatelja, operativnim faktorima, doktrinarnim principima i načinu upotrebe snaga u borbi. Dobijeni podaci su obrađeni metodom agregacije sila, transformišući snage heterogenog sastava u homogene. Modelovanje bitke je sprovedeno metodom diferencijalnih Lančesterovih jednačina.

Rezultati: Potvrđena je delimična validnost modela koji opisuje sukob na praktičnom istorijskom primeru iz studije slučaja, uzimajući u obzir uticaj parametara ishoda sukoba, odnosa gubitaka, potrošnje ubojnih sredstava i broja izvedenih vazduhoplovnih misija.

Zaključak: Postoje objektivna ograničenja u primeni modelovanja vojnih operacija, i optimizaciji upotrebe snaga na taktičkom i operativnom nivou. Vrednost ovog metoda jeste mogućnost pouzdane strateške procene vojne moći protivnika na strateškom nivou.

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Modelovanje borbenih operacija

Sažetak

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